Sunday, December 10, 2006

Congratulations to the Democrat who will be the next president

Republicans are stuck between a rock and a hard place and, as far as I can tell, this pretty much clinches my take on it.
"It's sort of hard to suddenly say everyone agrees Baker is the way to go when the leading Republican candidate for '08 is saying no," said William Kristol, editor of the Weekly Standard.
I've been thinking for a while that someone who has continued to support the Iraq War is now in a tough position. The war in Iraq is inarguably not working out, so you either have to suddenly drop your support for the war or suggest, per McCain, that those who have been prosecuting the war (with your support) haven't been aggressive enough and should send more troops. The former idea makes you look like you're flip-flopping for political reasons and the latter gets support from roughly 15 percent of the American public.

The only people who can be said to have been somewhat reasonable on this issue like, say, Chuck Hagel, probably can't pull in the votes to make it out of the Republican primary. Whoever does make it out won't win over the moderates with an Iraq strategy of "More troops and on to Asculum!" especially when that even our generals on the ground don't support the call for more troops. Americans are done with "the 7,000-mile screwdriver" and we don't need another in the White House.

I don't necessarily think, as Paul Krugman does, that you had to have opposed the war from the beginning. Americans will forgive voting for the war, but not the continuing cheerleading. Republican primary voters won't support people who've undermined Bush.

Unless some major upheaval occurs, we will have a Democratic president elected in 2008. Tell me where I'm wrong.


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