Tuesday, April 29, 2008

The race for elected superdelegates

There's an interesting story in the Wall Street Journal today, which points out Obama's on track to overtake Clinton in the superdelegate count. What I thought was interesting was the chart accompanying the article, which breaks down the superdelegates by type. You see, there are many flavors of superdelegates—those who have been elected and got their superdelegate vote that way and the various other democratic officials and "party people."

According to the chart, the current superdelegate situation breaks down like this (though I'm not sure whether this includes Obama's two House endorsements today):

  • DNC Members: 118
  • House Members 75
  • Senators 18
  • Governors 14
  • Party Leaders 3
  • Add-ons 8

  • DNC Members: 143
  • House Members 77
  • Senators 13
  • Governors 11
  • Party Leaders 10
  • Add-ons 4

What's I find fascinating is that Obama, who currently holds a lead in the popular vote (and you can spare me the whining about Florida and Michigan) already holds a lead among the superdelegates who are democratically elected. The only thing keeping Clinton in the lead for now are the members of the Democratic party who either no longer hold office or who have only been elected to positions within the party itself.

In other words, when you add up the senators, congressman and governors—the people who have been elected by a mix of Democrats, Republicans, Libertarians, independents, etc.—then Barack Obama's in the lead.

Is this a meaningful measurement? I don't know. But I do think it speaks to Obama's electability when more of those who are actually dependent upon their constituents' good will are willing to get behind him.


Blogger Jim said...


Welcome back!


11:19 AM  
Blogger Nitpicker said...

Thank you, Jim. I tried to get out, but, you know, pulling me back in and all that.

7:14 PM  

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